First
of all, prices are dropping on Phoenix MLS. In
fact, Phoenix experienced the third largest
year-over-year drop in housing prices at 21% -- just trailing Las
Vegas and Miami.
"The markets that were the high-flyers during the recent real estate boom
continue to be the ones that are leading the current decline," the S&P
/ Case-Schiller report said. Arizona MLS shows deep price reductions
throughout Peoria, Surprise and Glendale
– spanning both East and West
Valley. The median
housing price is expected to drop below the current median of $181,000 – which
is 2003-2004 pricing. The Arizona MLS market has been slashing prices
for 15 consecutive months now, leaving many people wondering if the bottom is
just right around the corner.
Secondly,
the Arizona MLS builders are leveling out and regrouping, reports a September Arizona Republic
article. After a tremendous growth spurt in the earlier part of the millennium,
some small builders left the scene and some moderate builders have foreclosed,
leaving behind the strongest firms. "The Valley's new-home market is in
transition, and we are probably only halfway through that transition,"
said real-estate analyst RL Brown. "Now, home builders are re-evaluating
where and for what price range they can sell homes."
Thirdly,
Arizona MLS sales
volume went up 11.2%. Inventory of single family homes in the Phoenix real estate market fell by roughly
600 homes. There were 4,434 sales in August 2008, according to the Arizona
MLS, with Phoenix
accounting for roughly a quarter of those sales. Mesa,
Queen Creek, Chandler, Gilbert, Surprise, Glendale and Scottsdale
also sold hundred of properties last month. Forecasters say it may take 10
months to a year for all the existing homes to be usurped, but the low-priced
foreclosures are too enticing for buyers to pass up. "The number of homes sold
continues to increase throughout the Valley – again demonstrating that home
buyers are taking advantage of lower prices and existing inventory levels are
falling," reports Arizona MLS housing analyst Bob Stahl.
"Once existing inventory levels (supply) meet the demand for housing
(which is strong), the housing market in Greater Phoenix will begin to
recover.”